Friday, June 25, 2010

World Cup Math

Being a statistician has its own range of probable outcomes in life. One of those is the high likelihood that we will eventually apply the tools of our trade to areas of life where most people don't really want you to weigh in with an opinion at all. Like, for instance, the odds of advancing from the first round to the second in World Cup soccer.

Popular opinion notwithstanding... we apparently go ahead and do it anyway, as in this article from a leading organization of actuaries. Should you decide to click through, I'm sure you will be fascinated with their finding that teams with 5 points in the first round (like the USA) almost always progress into the next round.

Or maybe you don't follow soccer at all and don't care one lick about this whole topic.

Me neither.

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